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After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.Dingshi Capital: Liu Yundi was appointed as an executive director, and Dingshi Capital (00804) announced that Ms. Liu Yundi had been appointed as an executive director, effective from December 12, 2024.

Russia said that Ukraine used American-made missiles to attack Russian airports. Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov said today (December 12) that Russia will definitely respond to Ukraine's attack on Russian military airports using American-made army tactical missiles. Sabrina Singh, deputy spokesperson of the US Department of Defense, said on the 11th that Russia may launch the Hazelnut missile again in the next few days, and the United States will continue to support Ukraine in air defense. (CCTV International News)The Dow Jones Industrial Average was last reported at 44,200.59, up 0.12% in the day.Liu Xiaochun, Vice President of Shanghai New Finance Research Institute: Small and medium-sized financial institutions may focus on capital increase, restructuring and mergers and acquisitions. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of no systematic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Liu Xiaochun, vice president of Shanghai Institute of New Finance and Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Finance, believes that local debt risks are gradually being resolved, and efforts should be made to resolve real estate risks and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions in the next stage. (SSE)

Market News: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban and Turkish President Erdogan discuss US sanctions against Gazprom.The gap between Italian and German government bond yields widened to 111 basis points, the highest level in a week.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)